Is Georgia ready for the top flight – not as yet it seems….

Georgia entered RWC 2015 ranked 16.

We had a look back at their results, per ESPNScrum.com data, in the just over two year period back to 17th September 2013 (so including RWC 2015 games played).

Georgia had 3 wins versus higher ranked opposition: Tonga, Samoa, Japan (by comparison prior to RWC 2015 Japan had one such win).

They had one game each against Ireland and Argentina, both were losses.

Their win percentage against teams that are participating in RWC was 54% (7 wins, 6 losses). Their win percentage against higher ranked opposition is 37.5% (3 wins, 5 losses).  Their all game win percentage is 65%, but that, for example includes games against Argentina A and Emerging Italy.

This analysis is somewhat approximative, but it is not immediately clear that Georgia is as yet ready to be competitive in major international rugby tournaments.

Opposition Rank Matches Won Lost
Ireland 6 1 0 1
Argentina 8 1 0 1
Tonga 11 2 1 1
Samoa 12 1 1 0
Japan 13 2 1 1
USA 15 1 0 1
Romania 17 2 2 0
Canada 18 2 1 1
Uruguay 19 1 1 0
Russia 22 2 2 0
Argentina A 1 0 1
Belgium 26 1 1 0
Emerg Italy 2 1 1
Germany 30 1 1 0
Portugal 29 2 2 0
Spain 21 3 3 0
v (not stated) 1 0 1
Win percentage analysis Totals 
All games 65,38% 26 17 9
Versus RWC opposition 53,85% 13 7 6
Versus higher ranked opposition 37,50% 8 3 5
Versus Irl + Arg 0,00% 2 0 2

Sources: ESPNScrum.com, World Rugby for rankings shown just pre-RWC 2015

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Empirical Rugby

Empirical Rugby is a blog that provides fundmental insight into rugby union using empirical analysis of rugby data.

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